Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.608555 0.689050 0.774727 0.872547 0.980972 1.097303 1.231390
2025-09-21 0.488892 0.601926 0.730956 0.888458 1.074789 1.287432 1.547659
2025-09-28 0.387324 0.516024 0.672831 0.876302 1.131508 1.439039 1.835461
2025-10-05 0.331847 0.474955 0.659834 0.913043 1.247188 1.669034 2.237191
2025-10-12 0.287887 0.440468 0.648526 0.947806 1.361124 1.904818 2.665646
2025-10-19 0.244534 0.399012 0.620810 0.954945 1.436324 2.093904 3.046646
2025-10-26 0.208775 0.362241 0.593603 0.957504 1.502586 2.273236 3.425368
2025-11-02 0.179455 0.330237 0.568331 0.958273 1.563828 2.447411 3.806586
2025-11-09 0.155322 0.302472 0.545326 0.958513 1.622129 2.619052 4.193157
2025-11-16 0.136037 0.279674 0.526885 0.962815 1.685210 2.799958 4.602665
2025-11-23 0.117694 0.255438 0.502575 0.953948 1.725017 2.946048 4.966285
2025-11-30 0.106026 0.241764 0.494636 0.971226 1.807625 3.162599 5.449722
2025-12-07 0.091964 0.221280 0.472171 0.961188 1.844267 3.309534 5.835069
2025-12-14 0.082434 0.208523 0.462495 0.972954 1.918931 3.522736 6.339211
2025-12-21 0.071163 0.189999 0.439156 0.956509 1.941713 3.650004 6.708741
2025-12-28 0.066573 0.185757 0.443900 0.994114 2.064873 3.954863 7.391058
2026-01-04 0.062267 0.181433 0.447857 1.030279 2.187604 4.265462 8.098583
2026-01-11 0.056034 0.171254 0.437946 1.037189 2.254992 4.481670 8.653550
2026-01-18 0.050204 0.160995 0.426481 1.039476 2.313081 4.683716 9.192941
2026-01-25 0.044950 0.151242 0.414852 1.040023 2.367267 4.880909 9.732478
2026-02-01 0.040284 0.142183 0.403621 1.040112 2.420071 5.077719 10.279913
2026-02-08 0.036391 0.134565 0.394841 1.044631 2.481877 5.294146 10.872546
2026-02-15 0.032237 0.125264 0.380593 1.035048 2.513084 5.453132 11.365409